Spike outcome

outcome-VALIDATED — kill condition NOT MET on all criteria.

Key empirical findings

ScenarioClassesHermiT meanstdevn
T1: 9 i-ζ + BFO stubs190.4615s0.1650s5
T2: +27 cross-module460.3163s0.0067s5
T3+10 ext560.3657s0.0299s5
T3+20 ext660.3873s0.0444s5
T3+30 ext760.3531s0.0122s5
T3+40 ext860.3740s0.0076s5
T3+50 ext960.4284s0.0548s5
Per-extension marginal cost0.0016s/ext

Kill condition: >5s classify OR >0.5s/ext. Actual: 0.428s max / 0.0016s/ext. NOT MET by 12× / 312× margin.

Cross-cutting findings

  • Axiom complexity dominates (confirmed from Z1.5): BFO+CCO-stub fixture 0.316-0.428s vs CCO-full-import 2.44s. Real Phase-1 will be between these.
  • Flat scaling across 9-96 classes — no monotonic growth; JVM scheduling noise dominates variance.
  • Zero consistency errors in 35 trials — φ.α’ 3-layer hierarchy is OWL-DL-consistent.
  • ELK not benchmarked — standalone jar not installed; ELK Phase-1.5+ Java-binding spike queued.
  • T1 cold-start variance (stdev 0.165s) — JVM startup ~0.3s included in wall-clock; warm path ~0.30-0.39s.
  • Multiple inheritance confirmed classifiable — FinancialAsset + DigitalAsset both subclass InheritableAsset + InformationContentEntity (GDC) — HermiT handles OWL DL multiple inheritance without issue.

Phase-5 lock recommendation

φ.α’+ CORE — retain φ.α’ 3-layer; HermiT via owlready2 Phase-1; ELK Phase-1.5+.

Artefact paths

  • T-file: /home/richardd/off-github/library/projects/inherit/T-spike-nu-beta-D1-tbox-layering-r2-completeness-2026-05-04.md
  • Q-NU-010: /home/richardd/testatetech/docs-strategy/docs/superpowers/specs/2026-04-29-multi-phase-audit/current-questions/Q-NU-010-tbox-layering-r2-completeness-deepening.md
  • Closure bundle: /tmp/spike-nu-beta-D1/closure-bundle.md

Honesty caveats summary (top 3)

  1. ELK standalone not benchmarked — carried from Z1.5; jar not installed.
  2. T2/T3 isolation via ontologies.clear() (not full subprocess per-trial) — adequate for flat BFO-stub fixtures.
  3. D1 fixture uses BFO/CCO stubs not full imports — real Phase-1 with full imports expected 0.5-2.44s (still below 5s kill).